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The Effects of Experience on Preference Uncertainty: Theory and Empirics for Public and Quasi-Public Goods

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Citation

Czajkowski M, Hanley N & LaRiviere J (2012) The Effects of Experience on Preference Uncertainty: Theory and Empirics for Public and Quasi-Public Goods. Economics Working paper, 2012-17.

Abstract
This paper develops a model of demand estimation in which consumers learn about their true preferences through consumption experiences. We develop a theoretical model of Bayesian updating, perform comparative statics over the model, and show how the theoretical model can be consistently incorporated into a reduced form econometric model. We then estimate the model using data collected for two quasi experience with a good will make consumers more certain over their preferences in both mean and variance are supported in each case.©\public goods. We find that the predictions of the theoretical exercise that additional

Keywords
Bayesian, demand estimation, stated preference, generalized multinomial logit, scale, scale variance.

JEL codes

  • C51: Model Construction and Estimation
  • D83: Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
  • Q51: Valuation of Environmental Effects
  • H43: Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

Title of seriesEconomics Working paper
Number in series2012-17
Publication date online31/08/2012
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